NEW POLL: Non-College Voters Continue Strong Support for Trump Ahead of 2026 Midterms

As the 2026 midterm elections approach, a key demographic group continues to emerge as a powerful force shaping the political landscape. According to CNN’s chief data analyst, Harry Enten, non-college-educated Americans are solidifying their status as one of President Donald Trump’s most loyal and consistent bases of support.

Recent polling data reveals that Trump retains overwhelming backing from this group, a trend that has persisted for years and could prove critical in determining the outcome of the midterms. With both parties focused on swing districts and vulnerable seats, analysts are closely monitoring how non-college voters will influence key races, especially in districts where control of Congress is up for grabs.

While non-college-educated voters have been an essential element in Trump’s political success, this demographic’s impact is even more pronounced in the current polarized political climate. Strategists from both sides of the aisle acknowledge the group’s strength in shaping midterm outcomes, with Trump’s alignment on issues such as immigration, economic policy, and trade resonating strongly with these voters.

Political analysts suggest that if Trump maintains—or even expands—his dominance within this voting bloc, it could lead to a wave of Republican victories, especially in battleground states and swing districts that are crucial to the GOP’s efforts to retain control of the House and Senate. Experts warn, however, that turnout will be key: while non-college voters remain a pillar of Trump’s base, ensuring high voter participation in these districts is a challenge both parties will need to address as the election cycle intensifies.

As the midterms draw nearer, all eyes are on the shifting dynamics of the electorate, with the non-college-educated group expected to play a decisive role in the battle for control of Congress. While many factors remain in play, Trump’s hold on this demographic will likely remain a pivotal element in shaping the political conversation heading into November.

Stay tuned for more insights as the election cycle heats up.